Bristlemouth: A Value Investing Blog
December 7, 2011

Healthzone Horribly Out of Shape

Healthzone Horribly Out of Shape

We’ve seen a lot of companies fall from grace spectacularly in the last five years, but the recent demise of Healthzone Limited (HZL) deserves special mention.

On 20 October this small-cap health food operator raised nearly $10m in fresh equity. It didn’t look stupidly indebted to start with – $17m of debt versus $7m of EBIT – but investors presumably assumed that the extra $10m of equity would leave the balance sheet indestructible. A month after the capital raising,  Commonwealth Bank forced the company into receivership.

In Dissing the Bluescope Capital Raising I wrote about the folly of throwing more money after a lost cause, but a month after the capital raising? Wow.

It’s all too easy in hindsight, of course, but it’s worth looking for lessons. I sent Intelligent Investor Funds’ new analyst, Matt Ryan, off with the Healthzone’s 2011 annual report to look for warning signs. Here are his notes and a few of my comments:

Reading the annual report, Healthzone reported profits in both 2011 and 2010. Putting aside the veracity of reported earnings, it is worth noting at the outset that even a legitimately profitable company can become insolvent if it cannot repay or refinance debt that comes due.

The Healthzone income statement looks quite unusual though and is probably the first signal to investors that all is not well. The company suffered a 17% fall in revenue in 2011, yet reported a 20% increase in gross profit. That seems quite unlikely, although the company attributed it to a margin mix restructure and a push into own brand and own store sales. In a year in which sales were down, we can see huge increases in employee benefit expenses, operating lease expenses and marketing expenses.

SJ: A definite warning sign. Transitioning from wholesale to retail would explain the higher gross margins, but the segment information in note 4 shows a 40% fall in turnover, excluding intersegment sales, in the much larger wholesale business. Hugely concerning.

The balance sheet shows negligible tangible book value, equity being nearly all accounted for by goodwill. The cash balance of $701k also looks very slim for a company with $90m turnover (salaries alone are $240 thousand per week). Total borrowings of $16.7m however don’t appear excessive at first glance for a company that has reported $7.2m and $8.7m in EBIT in 2011 and 2010 respectively.

The cash flow statement is more worrying. Cash flow from operations is negative despite the headline profit. Even worse, it’s also despite the fact that $3.6m of interest and finance charges have been stated as financing cash flow. Receipts from customers lines up closely with revenue from the income statement, but payments to suppliers of $94.5m is far in excess of the $84.5 cash operating expenses reported in the income statement.

SJ: Hints of financial difficulties almost always show up on the cashflow statement. Lots of funny business can take place on the income statement but cash is much harder to fudge.

Things get worse still once we get into the notes to the financial statements. Note 2 reveals that whilst total financial liabilities had declined from $49m to $45m, interest bearing liabilities increased from $22m to $31m. Only $17m of this $31m was shown as borrowings on the balance sheet, which as reported by the Herald is pretty objectionable.

Note 2 further shows that the company had almost no undrawn finance facilities available, and the liquidity risk section shows $33.6m financial liabilities maturing within 1 year, against $25m of maturing financial assets. From reading the cash flow statement above we know the difference was unlikely to be met by operating cashflow. This difference was even larger the year before, which may be why the company had raised capital over the previous 12 months.

SJ: How they got away with this I have no idea. Interest bearing liabilities that aren’t borrowings? Unbelieveable.

Pushing on, interest charges in note 6 look too high for the stated debt ($3.3m interest against $17m debt = 17.6% implied interest). In note 7 we can see the tax expense in 2011 mostly consists of deferred tax liabilities, suggesting that despite the headline profit there was little taxable income for the year, and in note 14, the pre-tax discount rate of 12% used to test for impairment looks far too low for a small-cap retailer.

SJ: There are a couple of good pickups in here. The tax point is excellent but the interest charges relative to the debt is a big warning sign. It’s essential to remember that the balance sheet reflects the company’s financial position on one day out of 365, and the accountants often shift things around  from receivables and payables to the amount of debt outstanding – to show the company in the best possible light as at 30 June.

The real clincher however is the jaw dropping disclosure in note 16 and 17 that $14m of trade payables were secured liabilities, and were in fact secured by a registered mortgage over the company and its subsidiaries. The auditor also provided a 'qualified' opinion because of an inventory reassessment in relation to a prior acquisition (with more of the acquisition price attributed to goodwill).

SJ: The qualification from the auditor is interesting. By attributing more of the acquisition cost to goodwill and less to inventory, the company is able to report lower cost of goods sold and more profit when it sells that inventory. So the auditor is suggesting profit is overstated to the tune of $1m. Also, auditors will do everything they can to get the company to change its accounting before issuing a qualified audit opinion. They don’t look good for company or auditor. Healthzone must have had a very strong reason for not wanting to report lower earnings, perhaps because it was hard up against its debt covenants.

Despite the fact that some of Healthzone’s accounting looks a little on the aggressive side, there was plenty in this annual report to cause shareholders consternation, particularly after the directors asked for another $10m.

Of course Matt has gone through this exercise with the prior knowledge that the company has gone down the gurgler. I wonder how many of these red flags we would overlook or brush aside for a business that we viewed favourably?

Comments

Gareth Brown (TII)
December 8, 2011

Great post lads - well done

Steve Johnson - IIF
December 8, 2011

I just had a quick flick through the My ATM prospectus. My ATM Listed in January and entered administration this week. The auditors report in the prospectus contained a going concern note (meaning the external accountants weren't sure whether it would be able to pay its bills or not)! I have seen some dodgy floats but I've never seen a going concern qualification in the accountants report.

Geoffrey Lewis
December 8, 2011

Hi Steve & Matt

Very interesting blog about HZL. I did not realise it was a listed company, but I have had experience as a retail customer of Healthzone and had noticed some worrying red flags at my local store over the last year.

They had been selling very good quality nuts, which had been popular with lots of my friends doing physical training. The stock of nuts was placed at the front of the store which is in a busy shopping centre, which has a Fitness First gym. Eventually I started buying other products. Until the end of 2010 there were always plenty of supplies, and if they ran out of a particular line, stock would be replenished within days.

From late 2010, the nuts were placed at the back of the store. More worrying, they would be out of stock for weeks at a time, so eventually I found another place to buy nuts. Also they changed the trading hours to close at 5:00 pm, while all other stores in the centre stay open till 6:00 or 6:30. This extra hour is when a lot of health-oriented people would walk past on their way to the gym.

December 8, 2011

Well done guys and always a good exercise to undertake. Couple of other pointers that I would mention:

Not once in the commentary do they say profits actually fell during 2011, but the mention of higher margin business is almost deafening. That's always a big red flag when management can't be open with shareholders.

They don't mention what the $1.2m of revenue called "change in contingent consideration" means but it makes a big difference to reported profits.

Interesting that revenue fell but trade debtors increased significantly. Why?

But the most telling feature for me which was touched on by Matt is that retained equity increased by approx $3m being the profit but deferred tax liability increased by roughly $1m at the same time. In other wors they told the tax office they didn't make any money in 2011.

Given they don't appear to be making cash profits and most of the expenditure is going to intangibles I can understand the bank was getting nervous, especially if they were trying to put some spin on it like they have with shareholders.

Cheers

Wayne

Garry
December 8, 2011

Many in the retail health industry knew that Healthzone were a house of cards waiting to fall. Their collapse was no surprise at all to industry participants who had to deal with them. Their ability to supply retailers with stock was massively hampered by brand owners no longer willing to supplying Healthzone due to unpaid bills. They had lost several of their largest product ranges and the market bought the suggestion from Healthzone that this would improve their average margins rather it being a very public signal of some large brand owners abandoning ship. They had become the supplier of last choice by many of their own franchisees and one did not have to scratch very deep at all to hear the discontent from the industry and their franchisees with Healthzone management and business practices.

If there was anybody at all recommending this stock in the past 12-18 months without a bold warnings of their risky future then they clearly had motives other than to give sound investment advice.

December 8, 2011

Being able to access this kind of operational insight is exactly the advantage investing locally has. Anybody with half an interest can go out and find this type of information. It is exactly these kinds of operating issues raised by Garry and Geoffrey that eventually find their way into the financials now being explained but by being operationally aware an investor is ahead of the pack. More importantly because an investor knows why it has happened they are in a position to know if it can be corrected adding further meaning to the residual numbers.

Andrew
December 8, 2011

Superb post - a very good read and good analysis.

Steve, you are correct when you say we know the outcome, so it would prove interesting to apply this analysis on "solvent" companies.

One thing I thought when reading this is how the directors should be answerable for this. Interestingly a quick glance at the annual report shows that 3 of the 4 directors aren't serving any other directorships - clearly a good thing.....would prove interesting how this plays out for them in the long term.

Page 17 of the annual report also makes for nice reading, despite a 55% drop in EPS, most executive pays increased by double digits.

Lastly, My ATM is a cracker - I guess when it takes 3 to 4 revisions to get your prospectus to the market then clearly a business can't be too serious about what it is doing.

It seemed like such an easy business - put cash machines in high volume areas where people need cash, and then sit back and keep "clipping the ticket" of future proceeds. Looks like the execs were more interested in feathering there own nests than providing true shareholder value.

On a positive note, at least they can't sponsor my beloved Port Power anymore!

Mark W
December 9, 2011

Useful post-mortem. Seems their biggest shareholder and board director Eu Yan Sang had no idea they were in strife, according to comments in the AFR.

I had the opportunity to separately meet both the Exec Chairman of Healthzone, plus another major shareholder (value investor too, mind you) earlier this year.

Yes the stock's historic PE looked appealing at 6x (albeit higher taking into acnt upcoming dilution), but there were plenty of red flags at the time. Empire building in China was a big turn off, which was dependent on future equity raisings rather than surplus internally generated cash flow. Consequently the Chairman was more concerned with spruiking the share price rather than creating genuine shareholder value.

The company did not disclose franchisee network sales (odd), and struggled to get franchisees to either purchase from head office in the first place (i.e. member leakage - yet I had no idea stockouts were to blame until now), or to collect payment from them for stock (I had a tip off that franchisee health had deteriorated, hence the line of questioning).

The Chairman could not clearly articulate the cost to expand to 200 stores in China, and how this would be funded. Further, he had no comprehension of the cultural differences between AU and China which could thwart them.

Thankfully I AVOIDED the stock.

Bernie
December 10, 2011

mark,

To your point about the shallow information provided regarding the expansion into China, it would appear that HZL had no intent to actually run the expansion itself. And it seems highly unusal that so much capital was committed for "investment purposes" with such sparse information provided about a major planned change in the business. If EYS does emerge as the buyer, they will be getting the core business at a bargain basement price but at what cost to the other shareholders and creditors?
One of the post receivership announcements said significant (or certain) shareholders would be kept informed of sale interests. Why not make the info available to all shareholders, especially since they have placed so much additional shares in the past year?

Bernie
January 11, 2012

Draw your own conclusion: Eu is doing due diligence now? What did they do before they invested millions of dollars?

http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/sub/companies/story/0,4574,473018,00.html

Direct quote:

"...Eu Yan Sang had expressed interest in buying certain businesses of Healthzone, minus any liabilities'There was a list of people who were potentially interested,' Mr Eu revealed. 'Then we were allowed to do some due diligence and things like that. It was sort of like being short-listed.' "

Bernie
February 15, 2012

Posted on ASX website toady, Eu Yan propsed purchase price A$5MM.
THIS IS A TRAVESTY

Its A Sad Day 150212
February 16, 2012

Bernie - not only is a travesty that a foreign company has purchased a business for such a ridiculously small amount,that employees a large number of Australians, it is also a travesty when the foreign owners make a large number of these Australian employees redundant.... which they did yesterday!!!!!! Maybe the employees should have feathered their nests like the directors did so that the pain of now being out of a job wouldn't be so bad. What a shame that foreign companies don't feel it's necessary to support Australian's. I wish them the best of luck in making Healthzone 'healthy' again.

Bernie
February 18, 2012

Its a Sad Day,

You are a very generous soul to wish the company well. From the press releases, it sounded as though the default on the loans had resulted from what should have been a manageable shortfall in cash flows. One can only wonder if the huge fees paid to the investment bankers to lure in additional investments contributed to the cash flow problems. Of course, it was the cash crunch that postioned the company to be snatched up for a fraction of the book value. It's almost too perfect to be a coincidence.

As I am not as generous as you, I will save my well wishes for the employees and other investors who have been injured.

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